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Making waves underground: India's first undersea rail tunnel takes shape · 9 hours ago IRDAI launches comic book series to simplify life insurance for consumers · 9 hours ago Fans 1, Productivity 0: How FIFA World Cup 2026 could trigger $17bn loss worldwide · 10 hours ago India's power sector set for strong FY27 growth on rising demand, capacity additions: Report · 11 hours ago ITR filing: Sold shares, property or crypto this year? Here's what you must know before filing your income tax return · 14 hours ago Punjab National Bank Q1FY27 net profit up 213% to Rs 5253 crore · 14 hours ago IDBI Bank Q1FY27 net profit rises 3.3% to Rs 2007 crore · 14 hours ago Nobody wants to wait on hold anymore. But can AI replace customer care? · 15 hours ago Pakistan to revise fuel prices daily; current account slips into $139 million FY26 deficit · 14 hours ago New money? India's currency might soon get a plastic makeover · 16 hours ago Textile sector to sew loose ends as FTAs kick in · 1 day ago NITI index: Gujarat, Maharashtra lead in wooing investors · 1 day ago Making waves underground: India's first undersea rail tunnel takes shape · 9 hours ago IRDAI launches comic book series to simplify life insurance for consumers · 9 hours ago Fans 1, Productivity 0: How FIFA World Cup 2026 could trigger $17bn loss worldwide · 10 hours ago India's power sector set for strong FY27 growth on rising demand, capacity additions: Report · 11 hours ago ITR filing: Sold shares, property or crypto this year? Here's what you must know before filing your income tax return · 14 hours ago Punjab National Bank Q1FY27 net profit up 213% to Rs 5253 crore · 14 hours ago IDBI Bank Q1FY27 net profit rises 3.3% to Rs 2007 crore · 14 hours ago Nobody wants to wait on hold anymore. But can AI replace customer care? · 15 hours ago Pakistan to revise fuel prices daily; current account slips into $139 million FY26 deficit · 14 hours ago New money? India's currency might soon get a plastic makeover · 16 hours ago Textile sector to sew loose ends as FTAs kick in · 1 day ago NITI index: Gujarat, Maharashtra lead in wooing investors · 1 day ago
Sunday, 19 Jul 2026 · IST
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What is the size of the market for disposable diapers in China?

Here's a good example of a market sizing. How many people live in China? A billion. Because the population of China is young, a full 600 million of those inhabitants might be of child-bearing age. Half are women, so there are about 300 million Chinese women of childbearing age. Now, the average family size in China is restricted, so it might be 1.5 children, on average, per family. Let's say two-thirds of Chinese women have children. That means that there are about 200 million children in China. How many of those kids are under the age of two? About a tenth, or 20 million. So there are at least 20 million possible consumers of disposable diapers.
To summarize:
1 billion people x 60% childbearing age = 600,000,000 people
600,000,000 people x 1/2 are women = 300,000,000 women of childbearing age
300,000,000 women x 2/3 have children = 200,000,000 women with children
200,000,000 women x 1.5 children each = 300,000,000 children
300,000,000 children x 1/10 under age 2 = 30 million

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